Çorum FK vs Kasimpasa prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 22 Aug · 17:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 22 Aug · 17:00 UK
Çorum FK 49Draw 28Kasimpasa 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
Çorum FK or draw
Missed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
48%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
45%

How it finished

Kasimpasa beat Çorum FK 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Çorum FK at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kasimpasa 23%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Çorum FK had 14 shots (2 on target) to Kasimpasa's 6 (1), with 75% of the ball against 25%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.3, so Çorum FK created the better chances and still lost the game.

Çorum FKFull-time statsKasimpasa
75%Possession25%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.3
14Shots6
2Shots on target1
8Shots inside box2
2Big chances0
7Corners0
0Saves2
11Fouls13
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callÇorum FK or draw 77%Kasimpasa won (23% called)
Total goals2.51
Both teams to score48%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Çorum FKKasimpasa
1.5
Goals+0.5
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Çorum FK to score78%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Kasimpasa to score62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Kasimpasa in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Çorum FK vs Kasimpasa?

Kasimpasa beat Çorum FK 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Çorum FK at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kasimpasa 23%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Çorum FK had 14 shots (2 on target) to Kasimpasa's 6 (1), with 75% of the ball against 25%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.3, so Çorum FK created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Çorum FK vs Kasimpasa?

Çorum FK 0–1 Kasimpasa, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Çorum FK 49%, the draw 28% and Kasimpasa 23%.

What were the stats in Çorum FK vs Kasimpasa?

Full-time: Possession 75%–25%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.3, Shots 14–6, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 8–2, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–0, Saves 0–2, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Çorum FK vs Kasimpasa?

No. It finished 0–1, so Çorum FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Çorum FK vs Kasimpasa right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Çorum FK or draw 77%, it finished Kasimpasa won (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Çorum FK form →Kasimpasa form →