Kasimpasa beat Çorum FK 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Çorum FK at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kasimpasa 23%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Çorum FK had 14 shots (2 on target) to Kasimpasa's 6 (1), with 75% of the ball against 25%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.3, so Çorum FK created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Kasimpasa beat Çorum FK 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Çorum FK at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kasimpasa 23%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Çorum FK had 14 shots (2 on target) to Kasimpasa's 6 (1), with 75% of the ball against 25%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.3, so Çorum FK created the better chances and still lost the game.
Çorum FK 0–1 Kasimpasa, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Çorum FK 49%, the draw 28% and Kasimpasa 23%.
Full-time: Possession 75%–25%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.3, Shots 14–6, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 8–2, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–0, Saves 0–2, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–3.
No. It finished 0–1, so Çorum FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Çorum FK or draw 77%, it finished Kasimpasa won (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No.