How it finished
Como beat RB Leipzig 4–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Como had 14 shots (6 on target) to RB Leipzig's 14 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Como vs RB Leipzig?
Como beat RB Leipzig 4–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Como had 14 shots (6 on target) to RB Leipzig's 14 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Como vs RB Leipzig?
Como 4–1 RB Leipzig, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Como 54%, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 23%.
What were the stats in Como vs RB Leipzig?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.4, Shots 14–14, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 10–8, Big chances 7–2, Corners 1–5, Saves 3–2, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 5–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Como vs RB Leipzig?
Yes — both Como and RB Leipzig scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Como vs RB Leipzig right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Como or draw 77%, it finished Como won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Como to win 54%, it finished Landed.