Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 77% probability because Colorado's 1.91 xG vastly outpaces Austin's 1.06, suggesting the hosts will consistently threaten a low-scoring stalemate into a multi-goal evening.
Colorado RapidsstepAustin FCColorado Rapids average 6.1 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). Austin average 3.5 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Colorado Rapids vs Austin — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Colorado Rapids and Austin — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Colorado Rapids 54% · draw 27% · Austin 19%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin FCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.