What we expect
Player forecasts
How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.
Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.
These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?
Bawler's model rates this match: Club Brugge are favoured (55% win probability vs 23% for Racing Genk, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Club Brugge 1-1 Racing Genk (9.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.35.
How does Bawler predict Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Club Brugge 55%, the draw 22% and Racing Genk 23%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?
BTTS: Yes (63% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.08 and away expected goals 1.28.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.35. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).