FT · Europe: Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Internazionale 3–4 Club BruggeMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Internazionale to win at 67%. Bawler had Internazionale at 67%, the draw at 17% and Club Brugge at 15%. The match finished 3–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
Internazionale win
67%
Draw
17%
Club Brugge win
15%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.7 – 1.2
Total 3.9
Actual
3 – 4
Total 7 (+3.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.9 – 4.4
From the match itself
The match produced 3.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Internazionale to win
Pre-match: 67%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.