FT · Belgium: Pro League · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Racing Genk 3–0 KV KortrijkMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Racing Genk to win at 73%. Bawler had Racing Genk at 73%, the draw at 17% and KV Kortrijk at 10%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Racing Genk win
73%
Result
Draw
17%
KV Kortrijk win
10%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.4 – 0.8
Total 3.2
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Racing Genk to win
Pre-match: 73%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 40%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.