FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Friday, 28 August 2026
Racing Genk 4–0 Waasland-BeverenMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 28 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Racing Genk to win at 63%. Bawler had Racing Genk at 63%, the draw at 22% and Waasland-Beveren at 15%. The match finished 4–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Racing Genk win
63%
Result
Draw
22%
Waasland-Beveren win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 0.9
Total 3.0
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.1 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Racing Genk to win
Pre-match: 63%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.