Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC prediction — MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 01:30 UK
Chicago Fire FC 49Draw 28Charlotte FC 24
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Chicago Fire FC beat Charlotte FC 2–1. Bawler's model had Chicago Fire FC in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Chicago Fire FC had 14 shots (5 on target) to Charlotte FC's 14 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.8.

Chicago FireFull-time statsCharlotte FC
46%Possession54%
1.6Expected goals (xG)0.8
14Shots14
5Shots on target1
8Shots inside box7
3Big chances0
8Corners6
0Saves3
8Fouls7
3Offsides3
3Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultChicago Fire FC 49%Chicago Fire FC (49% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score61%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Chicago Fire FC to score85%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Charlotte FC to score72%
Under 3.5 goals61%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CHI 3 · D 0 · CHA 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Aug 2026Chicago Fire FC 2–1 Charlotte FC
Jun 2025Chicago Fire FC 3–2 Charlotte FC
May 2025Charlotte FC 1–4 Chicago Fire FC
Oct 2024Charlotte FC 4–3 Chicago Fire FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC?

Chicago Fire FC beat Charlotte FC 2–1. Bawler's model had Chicago Fire FC in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Chicago Fire FC had 14 shots (5 on target) to Charlotte FC's 14 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC?

Chicago Fire FC 2–1 Charlotte FC, played on 02 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chicago Fire FC 49%, the draw 28% and Charlotte FC 24%.

What were the stats in Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.8, Shots 14–14, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 8–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 8–6, Saves 0–3, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 3–0.

Did both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC?

Yes — both Chicago Fire FC and Charlotte FC scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Chicago Fire FC 49%, it finished Chicago Fire FC (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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