Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 78% probability, backed by Chicago's 0.61 expected-goal advantage and a combined 3.14 xG total that strongly favors an open, multi-goal contest.
Chicago Fire average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). Charlotte average 4.1 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Chicago Fire and Charlotte — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Chicago Fire 49% · draw 28% · Charlotte 24%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.