Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas prediction — MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30 UK
44Charlotte FC win25Draw31FC Dallas win
Full time
3–2

How it finished

Charlotte FC beat FC Dallas 3–2. Charlotte FC had 18 shots (8 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 2.2.

Charlotte FCFull-time statsFC Dallas
56%Possession44%
3.5Expected goals (xG)2.2
18Shots13
8Shots on target5
17Shots inside box9
5Big chances4
14Corners3
3Saves3
14Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Charlotte FC win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.7v1.4
3.0 in total
Both teams score
60%
Yes
3+ goals
58%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Charlotte FCCharlotte FCFC DallasFC Dallas
1.7Goals1.4
12.5Shots13.9
4.7On target5.3
3.8Corners4.3
Charlotte FCCharlotte FCFC DallasFC Dallas
0.7Goals0.6
5.4Shots6.4
2.0On target2.4
1.8Corners2.0
Charlotte FCCharlotte FCFC DallasFC Dallas
0.9Goals0.8
7.1Shots7.5
2.7On target2.9
2.0Corners2.3

What we said the chances were

Charlotte FC to score81%
2 or more goals81%
FC Dallas to score75%
Goal before half-time72%
3 goals or fewer64%

First half — what we expected

Charlotte FC
51%
to score before half-time
FC Dallas
43%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Charlotte FCCharlotte FCFC DallasFC Dallas
58%5+ shots69%
32%7+ shots44%
82%1+ shots on target88%
32%3+ shots on target42%
78%1+ corners82%
28%3+ corners33%

League position

FC Dallas in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jul 2023FC Dallas 2–2 Charlotte FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Charlotte FC form →FC Dallas form →

Common questions

Who won Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

Charlotte FC beat FC Dallas 3–2. Charlotte FC had 18 shots (8 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 2.2.

What was the final score in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

Charlotte FC 3–2 FC Dallas, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 44%, the draw 25% and FC Dallas 31%.

What were the stats in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 3.5–2.2, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 17–9, Big chances 5–4, Corners 14–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

Yes — both Charlotte FC and FC Dallas scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.