Charlotte FC beat FC Dallas 3–2. Charlotte FC had 18 shots (8 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 2.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Charlotte FC beat FC Dallas 3–2. Charlotte FC had 18 shots (8 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 2.2.
Charlotte FC 3–2 FC Dallas, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 44%, the draw 25% and FC Dallas 31%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 3.5–2.2, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 17–9, Big chances 5–4, Corners 14–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Charlotte FC and FC Dallas scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.