Burnley vs West Ham United prediction — Championship · Sun 16 Aug · 16:00 UK

Championship · Sun 16 Aug · 16:00 UK
Burnley 34Draw 28West Ham United 37
The call
65%
Burnley or draw
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Burnley and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Burnley had 17 shots (5 on target) to West Ham United's 11 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.3.

BurnleyFull-time statsWest Ham…
46%Possession54%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.3
17Shots11
5Shots on target2
9Shots inside box10
4Big chances2
6Corners6
0Saves2
12Fouls9
0Offsides1
0Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultWest Ham United 37%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.74
Both teams to score53%Yes
Model call1X 65%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Burnley to score77%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
West Ham United to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BUR 0 · D 2 · WES 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Burnley 0–2 West Ham United
Nov 2025West Ham United 3–2 Burnley
Mar 2024West Ham United 2–2 Burnley
Nov 2023Burnley 1–2 West Ham United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Burnley vs West Ham United?

Burnley and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Burnley had 17 shots (5 on target) to West Ham United's 11 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Burnley vs West Ham United?

Burnley 2–2 West Ham United, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Burnley 34%, the draw 28% and West Ham United 37%.

What were the stats in Burnley vs West Ham United?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.3, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–6, Saves 0–2, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–4.

Did both teams score in Burnley vs West Ham United?

Yes — both Burnley and West Ham United scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Burnley vs West Ham United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said West Ham United 37%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 65%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Burnley form →West Ham United form →