Bristol City vs Millwall prediction — Championship · Sat 15 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 15 Aug · 15:00 UK
Bristol City 42Draw 31Millwall 27
The call
80%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Millwall beat Bristol City 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Millwall 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bristol City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Millwall's 24 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.0.

Bristol CityFull-time statsMillwall
34%Possession66%
0.5Expected goals (xG)3.0
8Shots24
0Shots on target3
2Shots inside box18
0Big chances4
6Corners6
2Saves0
8Fouls12
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBristol City 42%Millwall (27% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score54%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 80%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Bristol City to score78%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Millwall to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bristol City vs Millwall?

Millwall beat Bristol City 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Millwall 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bristol City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Millwall's 24 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.0.

What was the final score in Bristol City vs Millwall?

Bristol City 0–2 Millwall, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 42%, the draw 31% and Millwall 27%.

What were the stats in Bristol City vs Millwall?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–3.0, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 0–3, Shots inside box 2–18, Big chances 0–4, Corners 6–6, Saves 2–0, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Bristol City vs Millwall?

No. It finished 0–2, so Bristol City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bristol City vs Millwall right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bristol City 42%, it finished Millwall (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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