Bristol City vs Lincoln City prediction — Championship · Tue 15 Sept · 19:45 UK

Championship · Tue 15 Sept · 19:45 UK
38Bristol City win27Draw34Lincoln City win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Lincoln City beat Bristol City 1–0. Bristol City had 18 shots (4 on target) to Lincoln City's 9 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.9, so Bristol City created the better chances and still lost the game.

Bristol CityFull-time statsLincoln City
67%Possession33%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.9
18Shots9
4Shots on target3
12Shots inside box5
1Big chances1
13Corners4
2Saves4
13Fouls19
0Offsides2
2Yellow cards5
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Bristol City win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.4v1.3
2.7 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Bristol CityBristol CityLincoln CityLincoln City
1.4Goals1.3
13.6Shots15.0
3.8On target3.5
3.8Corners5.0
Bristol CityBristol CityLincoln CityLincoln City
0.7Goals0.5
6.3Shots7.4
1.7On target1.6
1.8Corners2.4
Bristol CityBristol CityLincoln CityLincoln City
0.7Goals0.8
7.3Shots7.6
2.1On target1.9
2.0Corners2.7

What we said the chances were

Bristol City to score75%
2 or more goals75%
Lincoln City to score73%
3 goals or fewer71%
Goal before half-time70%

First half — what we expected

Bristol City
49%
to score before half-time
Lincoln City
41%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Bristol CityBristol CityLincoln CityLincoln City
55%6+ shots68%
31%8+ shots45%
77%1+ shots on target76%
25%3+ shots on target23%
78%1+ corners86%
27%3+ corners40%

League position

Lincoln City in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Bristol City form →Lincoln City form →

Common questions

Who won Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

Lincoln City beat Bristol City 1–0. Bristol City had 18 shots (4 on target) to Lincoln City's 9 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.9, so Bristol City created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln City, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 38%, the draw 27% and Lincoln City 34%.

What were the stats in Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.9, Shots 18–9, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 12–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 13–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–19, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–5.

Did both teams score in Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

No. It finished 0–1, so Bristol City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.