Bradford City vs Burnley prediction — EFL Cup · Wed 26 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Wed 26 Aug · 19:45 UK
Bradford City 33Draw 27Burnley 40
Our call before kickoff
67%
Burnley or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

Bradford City and Burnley drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Burnley at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Bradford City had 16 shots (4 on target) to Burnley's 23 (6), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.1.

Bradford CityFull-time statsBurnley
32%Possession68%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.1
16Shots23
4Shots on target6
10Shots inside box14
0Big chances0
5Corners14
6Saves4
7Fouls9
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBurnley or draw 67%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.70
Both teams to score56%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Missed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Bradford CityBurnley
1.3
Goals+0.2
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Burnley to score77%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Bradford City to score73%
Under 3.5 goals70%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Burnley in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bradford City vs Burnley?

Bradford City and Burnley drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Burnley at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Bradford City had 16 shots (4 on target) to Burnley's 23 (6), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Bradford City vs Burnley?

Bradford City 0–0 Burnley, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bradford City 33%, the draw 27% and Burnley 40%.

What were the stats in Bradford City vs Burnley?

Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.1, Shots 16–23, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 10–14, Big chances 0–0, Corners 5–14, Saves 6–4, Fouls 7–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Bradford City vs Burnley?

No. It finished 0–0, so Bradford City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bradford City vs Burnley right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Burnley or draw 67%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Bradford City form →Burnley form →