Bradford City vs Burnley prediction — EFL Cup · Wed 26 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Wed 26 Aug · 19:45 UK
Bradford City 40Draw 28Burnley 32
The call
68%
Bradford City or draw
2.5
Goals expected
2d 05hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Under 3.5 goals76%
Bradford City to score74%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
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Common questions

Who will win Bradford City vs Burnley?

Bawler's model rates this match: Bradford City are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Burnley, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Bradford City vs Burnley?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Bradford City 1-1 Burnley (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.

How does Bawler predict Bradford City vs Burnley?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Bradford City 40%, the draw 28% and Burnley 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Bradford City vs Burnley?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Bradford City vs Burnley?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).

Around this fixture

Championship table →
Bradford City
Before this
8 AugHRochdale20 W
All fixtures & results →Bradford City form →Burnley form →