Bodo/Glimt vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 17:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Tue 11 Aug · 17:00 UK
Bodo/Glimt 55Draw 28Union St.-Gilloise 17
The call
76%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2

How it finished

Bodo/Glimt beat Union St.-Gilloise 3–2. Bawler's model had Bodo/Glimt in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Bodo/Glimt had 23 shots (9 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 19 (5).

Bodo/GlimtFull-time statsUnion…
23Shots19
9Shots on target5
10Corners1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBodo/Glimt 55%Bodo/Glimt (55% called)
Total goals2.85
Both teams to score52%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 76%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Bodo/Glimt to score84%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Union St.-Gilloise to score62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.9 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bodo/Glimt vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Bodo/Glimt beat Union St.-Gilloise 3–2. Bawler's model had Bodo/Glimt in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Bodo/Glimt had 23 shots (9 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 19 (5).

What was the final score in Bodo/Glimt vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Bodo/Glimt 3–2 Union St.-Gilloise, played on 11 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bodo/Glimt 55%, the draw 28% and Union St.-Gilloise 17%.

What were the stats in Bodo/Glimt vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Full-time: Shots 23–19, Shots on target 9–5, Corners 10–1.

Did both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Yes — both Bodo/Glimt and Union St.-Gilloise scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St.-Gilloise right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bodo/Glimt 55%, it finished Bodo/Glimt (55% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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