Germany: BundesligaFriday 28 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Bayern Munich vVfB Stuttgart

Most likely scoreline
21
9% of the time · 4.00 goals expected
Bayern Munich 71%Draw 17%VfB Stuttgart 12%
How we get there
Bayern MunichstepVfB Stuttgart
2.80Base xG · rolling 26-match1.21
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.80Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.21

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Bayern Munich average 7.0 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Stuttgart average 5.7 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
2
2
1
1
1
5
6
4
1
2
7
9
5
2
1
3
7
8
5
2
1
4
5
6
3
1
5
3
3
2
1
6
1
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Bayern Munich and Stuttgart — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Bayern Munich 71% · draw 17% · Stuttgart 12%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.