Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart prediction — Bundesliga · Fri 28 Aug · 19:30 UK

Bundesliga · Fri 28 Aug · 19:30 UK
Bayern Munich 69Draw 17VfB Stuttgart 14
The call
69%
Bayern Munich to win
4.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–1

How it finished

Bayern Munich beat VfB Stuttgart 5–1. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.1 goals; the match produced 6. Bayern Munich had 21 shots (9 on target) to VfB Stuttgart's 11 (4), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.

Bayern MunichFull-time statsVfB Stuttgart
59%Possession41%
3.9Expected goals (xG)0.9
21Shots11
9Shots on target4
14Shots inside box7
6Big chances2
9Corners3
3Saves5
10Fouls17
3Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBayern Munich 69%Bayern Munich (69% called)
Total goals4.16
Both teams to score67%Yes
Model callHome Win 69%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Bayern Munich to score94%
Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
VfB Stuttgart to score71%

First half — what we expected

Bayern MunichBefore half-timeVfB Stuttgart
75%Chance to score44%
8.9Expected shots5.4
3.6Expected shots on target2.3
2.6Expected corners2.3
64%Chance of 8+ shots20%
40%Chance of 10+ shots7%
65%Chance of 3+ shots on target40%
29%Chance of 5+ shots on target8%
70%Chance of 2+ corners64%
27%Chance of 4+ corners20%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 86%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5BAY 5 · D 0 · STU 0
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

May 2026Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart
Apr 2026Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart
Dec 2025VfB Stuttgart 0–5 Bayern München
Aug 2025VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Bayern München
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?

Bayern Munich beat VfB Stuttgart 5–1. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.1 goals; the match produced 6. Bayern Munich had 21 shots (9 on target) to VfB Stuttgart's 11 (4), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?

Bayern Munich 5–1 VfB Stuttgart, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the GERMANY: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bayern Munich 69%, the draw 17% and VfB Stuttgart 14%.

What were the stats in Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 3.9–0.9, Shots 21–11, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 14–7, Big chances 6–2, Corners 9–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 10–17, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?

Yes — both Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bayern Munich 69%, it finished Bayern Munich (69% called); Total goals — we said 4.1, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 69%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →Bayern Munich form →VfB Stuttgart form →