Austria Vienna vs Braga prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK
Austria Vienna 20Draw 24Braga 56
The call
80%
Braga or draw
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Austria Vienna and Braga drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Braga at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Austria Vienna had 8 shots (1 on target) to Braga's 9 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.4.

Austria…Full-time statsBraga
51%Possession49%
0.5Expected goals (xG)0.4
8Shots9
1Shots on target4
4Shots inside box6
0Big chances0
2Corners5
4Saves1
17Fouls17
0Offsides0
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBraga 56%Draw (24% called)
Total goals2.90
Both teams to score54%No
Model callX2 80%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Braga to score84%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Austria Vienna to score64%

First half — what we expected

Austria ViennaBefore half-timeBraga
36%Chance to score61%
3.6Expected shots8.6
1.2Expected shots on target3.3
1.3Expected corners4.1
4%Chance of 8+ shots61%
1%Chance of 10+ shots36%
34%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
4%Chance of 4+ shots on target42%
15%Chance of 3+ corners75%
2%Chance of 5+ corners38%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 75%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.8 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Austria Vienna vs Braga?

Austria Vienna and Braga drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Braga at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Austria Vienna had 8 shots (1 on target) to Braga's 9 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Austria Vienna vs Braga?

Austria Vienna 0–0 Braga, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austria Vienna 20%, the draw 24% and Braga 56%.

What were the stats in Austria Vienna vs Braga?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.4, Shots 8–9, Shots on target 1–4, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–1, Fouls 17–17, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Austria Vienna vs Braga?

No. It finished 0–0, so Austria Vienna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Austria Vienna vs Braga right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Braga 56%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Model call — we said X2 80%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Austria Vienna form →Braga form →