Valencia beat Alavés 1–0. Alavés had 15 shots (3 on target) to Valencia's 10 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 0.7, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Valencia beat Alavés 1–0. Alavés had 15 shots (3 on target) to Valencia's 10 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 0.7, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.
Alavés 0–1 Valencia, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alavés 44%, the draw 27% and Valencia 28%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.7, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 7–14, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 1–4.
No. It finished 0–1, so Alavés failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.