Alavés vs Valencia prediction — LaLiga · Tue 15 Sept · 19:00 UK

LaLiga · Tue 15 Sept · 19:00 UK
44Alavés win27Draw28Valencia win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Valencia beat Alavés 1–0. Alavés had 15 shots (3 on target) to Valencia's 10 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 0.7, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.

AlavésFull-time statsValencia
43%Possession57%
1.1Expected goals (xG)0.7
15Shots10
3Shots on target3
11Shots inside box5
2Big chances1
2Corners5
2Saves3
7Fouls14
3Offsides4
1Yellow cards4
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Alavés win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.2
2.6 in total
Both teams score
53%
Leans yes
3+ goals
49%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

AlavésAlavésValenciaValencia
1.5Goals1.2
15.6Shots9.9
6.7On target2.1
6.2Corners3.7
AlavésAlavésValenciaValencia
0.7Goals0.5
7.1Shots4.5
2.9On target0.8
2.9Corners1.7
AlavésAlavésValenciaValencia
0.8Goals0.7
8.5Shots5.4
3.8On target1.3
3.3Corners2.0

What we said the chances were

Alavés to score78%
2 or more goals74%
3 goals or fewer73%
Goal before half-time69%
Valencia to score68%

First half — what we expected

Alavés
51%
to score before half-time
Valencia
37%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

AlavésAlavésValenciaValencia
65%6+ shots30%
41%8+ shots13%
75%2+ shots on target20%
34%4+ shots on target<10%
73%2+ corners48%
33%4+ corners13%

League position

Valencia in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Alavés form →Valencia form →

Common questions

Who won Alavés vs Valencia?

Valencia beat Alavés 1–0. Alavés had 15 shots (3 on target) to Valencia's 10 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 0.7, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Alavés vs Valencia?

Alavés 0–1 Valencia, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alavés 44%, the draw 27% and Valencia 28%.

What were the stats in Alavés vs Valencia?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.7, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 7–14, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Alavés vs Valencia?

No. It finished 0–1, so Alavés failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.