Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0. Al Shabab had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Taawoun's 18 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.5, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0. Al Shabab had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Taawoun's 18 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.5, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.
Al Shabab 3–0 Al Taawoun, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 40%, the draw 25% and Al Taawoun 35%.
Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.5, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 9–15, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–17, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 3–0, so Al Taawoun failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.