Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 19:00 UK
40Al Shabab win25Draw35Al Taawoun win
Full time
3–0

How it finished

Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0. Al Shabab had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Taawoun's 18 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.5, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.

Al ShababFull-time statsAl Taawoun
30%Possession70%
1.5Expected goals (xG)2.5
14Shots18
5Shots on target3
9Shots inside box15
2Big chances1
3Corners4
2Saves4
13Fouls17
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards3
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Al Shabab win (8%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.5
3.2 in total
Both teams score
64%
Yes
3+ goals
62%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Al ShababAl ShababAl TaawounAl Taawoun
1.6Goals1.5
19.8Shots16.0
5.3On target4.3
8.3Corners8.6
Al ShababAl ShababAl TaawounAl Taawoun
0.8Goals0.8
9.4Shots7.6
2.5On target2.1
3.9Corners4.0
Al ShababAl ShababAl TaawounAl Taawoun
0.8Goals0.7
10.4Shots8.4
2.8On target2.2
4.4Corners4.6

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals83%
Al Shabab to score81%
Goal before half-time80%
Al Taawoun to score79%

First half — what we expected

Al Shabab
56%
to score before half-time
Al Taawoun
55%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Al ShababAl ShababAl TaawounAl Taawoun
66%8+ shots47%
45%10+ shots27%
89%1+ shots on target85%
44%3+ shots on target36%
70%3+ corners72%
36%5+ corners38%

League position

Al Taawoun in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Al Shabab 1–5 Al-Taawoun
Jan 2026Al-Taawoun 2–0 Al Shabab
Feb 2025Al-Taawoun 2–2 Al Shabab
Sept 2024Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Taawoun
May 2024Al-Taawoun 1–0 Al Shabab
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Shabab form →Al Taawoun form →

Common questions

Who won Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0. Al Shabab had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Taawoun's 18 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.5, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Al Shabab 3–0 Al Taawoun, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 40%, the draw 25% and Al Taawoun 35%.

What were the stats in Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.5, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 9–15, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–17, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

No. It finished 3–0, so Al Taawoun failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.