FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 24 October 2026

Al Riyadh 2–1 Al TaawounMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 24 October 2026

Al Riyadh
2–1
Al Riyadh win
Al Taawoun

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was Al Taawoun or draw at 68%. Bawler had Al Riyadh at 32%, the draw at 26% and Al Taawoun at 42%. The match finished 2–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Riyadh win
32%
Result
Draw
26%
Al Taawoun win
42%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.3 – 1.6
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 79%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 79% because combined expected goals reach 2.91, with Al Taawoun's 1.56 xG edging Al Riyadh's 1.35 in a fixture where both sides carry genuine attacking threat."

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