Al Ahli vs Al Hazem prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 11 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 11 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Ahli 72Draw 18Al Hazem 10
Our call before kickoff
72%
Al Ahli to win
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
48%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Al Ahli beat Al Hazem 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Ahli in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Al Ahli had 23 shots (8 on target) to Al Hazem's 18 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%.

Al AhliFull-time statsAl Hazem
51%Possession49%
23Shots18
8Shots on target3
5Corners4
2Saves3
19Fouls14
4Offsides1
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Ahli to win 72%Al Ahli won (72% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score48%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al AhliAl Hazem
2.3
Goals+1.5
0.8
14.9
Shots+3.7
11.2
5.6
On target+2.3
3.3
4.2
Corners+0.1
4.1
Al AhliAl Hazem
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
6.7
Shots+1.6
5.1
2.4
On target+0.9
1.6
2.0
Corners
1.9
Al AhliAl Hazem
1.7
Goals+1.3
0.4
8.2
Shots+2.2
6.1
3.1
On target+1.4
1.7
2.2
Corners
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Al Ahli to score90%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Al Ahli
63%
to score before half-time
Al Hazem
34%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Al AhliAl Hazem
6.71st-half shots5.1
2.41st-half shots on target1.6
2.01st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

60%Chance of 6+ shots39%
36%Chance of 8+ shots19%
88%Chance of 1+ shots on target75%
43%Chance of 3+ shots on target22%
81%Chance of 1+ corners80%
31%Chance of 3+ corners30%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Ahli6.78.2
Shots · Al Hazem5.16.1
Shots on target · Al Ahli2.43.1
Shots on target · Al Hazem1.61.7
Corners · Al Ahli2.02.2
Corners · Al Hazem1.92.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Ahli 5 · Draws 0 · Al Hazem 0
Al Hazem in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Ahli 2–0 Al Hazem
Sept 2025Al Hazem 0–2 Al Ahli
Dec 2023Al Hazem 0–4 Al Ahli
Aug 2023Al Ahli 3–1 Al Hazem
Jan 2022Al Ahli 1–0 Al Hazem
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Ahli vs Al Hazem?

Al Ahli beat Al Hazem 3–1. Bawler's model had Al Ahli in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Al Ahli had 23 shots (8 on target) to Al Hazem's 18 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%.

What was the final score in Al Ahli vs Al Hazem?

Al Ahli 3–1 Al Hazem, played on 11 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Ahli 72%, the draw 18% and Al Hazem 10%.

What were the stats in Al Ahli vs Al Hazem?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Shots 23–18, Shots on target 8–3, Corners 5–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 19–14, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Al Ahli vs Al Hazem?

Yes — both Al Ahli and Al Hazem scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Hazem right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Ahli to win 72%, it finished Al Ahli won (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Ahli form →Al Hazem form →