Aberdeen vs St Johnstone prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK
42Aberdeen win28Draw30St Johnstone win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

St Johnstone beat Aberdeen 1–0. Aberdeen had 22 shots (5 on target) to St Johnstone's 5 (1), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Aberdeen created the better chances and still lost the game.

AberdeenFull-time statsSt Johnstone
65%Possession35%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.1
22Shots5
5Shots on target1
15Shots inside box5
1Big chances2
13Corners2
0Saves5
7Fouls10
0Offsides0
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Aberdeen win (11%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.4v1.2
2.6 in total
Both teams score
52%
Leans yes
3+ goals
48%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

AberdeenAberdeenSt JohnstoneSt Johnstone
1.4Goals1.2
15.5Shots14.8
3.0On target4.5
5.6Corners3.9
AberdeenAberdeenSt JohnstoneSt Johnstone
0.6Goals0.4
7.0Shots6.7
1.4On target1.9
2.7Corners1.8
AberdeenAberdeenSt JohnstoneSt Johnstone
0.8Goals0.8
8.5Shots8.1
1.7On target2.6
3.0Corners2.0

What we said the chances were

Aberdeen to score76%
3 goals or fewer74%
2 or more goals73%
St Johnstone to score69%
Goal before half-time63%

First half — what we expected

Aberdeen
45%
to score before half-time
St Johnstone
32%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

AberdeenAberdeenSt JohnstoneSt Johnstone
64%6+ shots60%
40%8+ shots36%
70%1+ shots on target81%
18%3+ shots on target29%
69%2+ corners50%
29%4+ corners14%

League position

St Johnstone in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Mar 2025St. Johnstone 0–0 Aberdeen
Dec 2024Aberdeen 1–1 St. Johnstone
Aug 2024St. Johnstone 1–2 Aberdeen
May 2024Aberdeen 1–0 St. Johnstone
Feb 2024Aberdeen 0–2 St. Johnstone
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Aberdeen form →St Johnstone form →

Common questions

Who won Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?

St Johnstone beat Aberdeen 1–0. Aberdeen had 22 shots (5 on target) to St Johnstone's 5 (1), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Aberdeen created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?

Aberdeen 0–1 St Johnstone, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aberdeen 42%, the draw 28% and St Johnstone 30%.

What were the stats in Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?

Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.1, Shots 22–5, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 15–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 13–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 0–0.

Did both teams score in Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?

No. It finished 0–1, so Aberdeen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.