World Cup 2026 · Group F
Tunisia at World Cup 2026
Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments
FIFA rank
#31
Official ranking
Win the group
9.68%
Top two finish
Reach the last 16
19.6%
Round of 16
Win the cup
0.27%
Lift the trophy
Bawler's full forecast for Tunisia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group F alongside Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.
Tournament path
Tunisia's path to the trophy
Probability Tunisia reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
9.68%
Round of 16
19.6%
Quarter-finals
13.2%
Semi-finals
5.93%
Final
1.60%
Win it all
0.27%
Group F
Group F forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netherlands | #7 | 85.6% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Japan | #17 | 79.2% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Sweden | #25 | 25.6% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Tunisia | #31 | 9.68% | 19.6% | 13.2% | 5.93% | 0.27% |
Fixtures
Tunisia's World Cup fixtures
3 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.