World Cup 2026 · Group E
Curacao at World Cup 2026
Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments
FIFA rank
#90
Official ranking
Win the group
22.8%
Top two finish
Reach the last 16
35.2%
Round of 16
Win the cup
0.15%
Lift the trophy
Bawler's full forecast for Curacao at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group E alongside Germany, Ivory Coast, and Ecuador. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.
Tournament path
Curacao's path to the trophy
Probability Curacao reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.
Escape group
22.8%
Round of 16
35.2%
Quarter-finals
22.2%
Semi-finals
8.96%
Final
1.96%
Win it all
0.15%
Group E
Group E forecast
Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.
| Team | FIFA | Top 2 | R16 | QF | SF | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Germany | #11 | 94.0% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Ecuador | #30 | 57.5% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
 Ivory Coast | #47 | 25.7% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Curacao | #90 | 22.8% | 35.2% | 22.2% | 8.96% | 0.15% |
Fixtures
Curacao's World Cup fixtures
3 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.