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Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 15:00 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 15:00 UK
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
78Union St.-Gilloise win15Draw7OH Leuven win
Full time
1–1

How it finished

Union St.-Gilloise and OH Leuven drew 1–1. Union St.-Gilloise had 18 shots (2 on target) to OH Leuven's 13 (1), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.

Union…Full-time statsOH Leuven
63%Possession37%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.3
18Shots13
2Shots on target1
12Shots inside box9
0Big chances1
9Corners4
0Saves2
11Fouls11
1Offsides2
0Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
We predicted
2–0
Union St.-Gilloise to win · 12% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.6v0.7
3.3 in total
Both teams score
47%
Leans no
3+ goals
65%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Union St.-GilloiseUnion St.-GilloiseOH LeuvenOH Leuven
2.6Goals0.7
22.0Shots8.1
10.7On target2.1
6.6Corners2.7
Union St.-GilloiseUnion St.-GilloiseOH LeuvenOH Leuven
1.2Goals0.3
10.0Shots3.7
4.8On target0.9
3.1Corners1.3
Union St.-GilloiseUnion St.-GilloiseOH LeuvenOH Leuven
1.5Goals0.4
12.0Shots4.4
5.9On target1.2
3.5Corners1.4

What we said the chances were

Union St.-Gilloise to score93%
2 or more goals85%
Goal before half-time77%

First half — what we expected

Union St.-Gilloise
69%
to score before half-time
OH Leuven
26%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Union St.-GilloiseUnion St.-GilloiseOH LeuvenOH Leuven
62%9+ shots<10%
42%11+ shots<10%
67%4+ shots on target<10%
35%6+ shots on target<10%
76%2+ corners34%
37%4+ corners<10%

League position

OH Leuven in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jan 2026OH Leuven 0–0 Union St.Gilloise
Aug 2025Union St.Gilloise 5–0 OH Leuven
Jan 2025Union St.Gilloise 1–0 OH Leuven
Nov 2024OH Leuven 1–1 Union St.Gilloise
Mar 2024OH Leuven 0–2 Union St.Gilloise
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Union St.-Gilloise form →OH Leuven form →

Common questions

Who won Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Union St.-Gilloise and OH Leuven drew 1–1. Union St.-Gilloise had 18 shots (2 on target) to OH Leuven's 13 (1), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Union St.-Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Union St.-Gilloise 78%, the draw 15% and OH Leuven 7%.

What were the stats in Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.3, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 0–1, Corners 9–4, Saves 0–2, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–3, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?

Yes — both Union St.-Gilloise and OH Leuven scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.