Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / KAA Gent
Team profile · Belgium: Pro League

KAA Gent Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
6 settled
Goals for
1.74
Expected, per match
Goals against
2.00
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

KAA Gent prediction: for KAA Gent's next match — KAA Gent vs IFK Göteborg on Thursday 13 Aug, 18:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a KAA Gent win looks most likely (40%). The model's strongest call is KAA Gent or Draw.

KAA Gent are vulnerable at the back, conceding 2.00 expected goals a game against a Pro League average of 1.65. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.83 goals a game against 1.74 expected. Next up is IFK Göteborg, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 40%.

Next match

Home vs IFK Göteborg · Thursday 13 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Win
40%
KAA Gent
Draw
28%
Loss
32%
IFK Göteborg
High confidence · KAA Gent or Draw @ 68%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 3D 1L
Real goals
0.8 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How KAA Gent compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.74
Above average
Goals against
2.00
Leakier than most
Scored1.74
Conceded2.00

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.69 scored, 1.65 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 2.00 xG per match · +0.35 vs league average of 1.65.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on KAA Gent fixtures (4/4).
Squad availability · KAA Gent vs IFK Göteborg
Fetching squad availability…

How to read this: known injuries, suspensions, and doubtful players for both squads, pulled from FotMob's official feed. Updates close to kickoff as managers confirm availability.

📊 KAA Gent in numbers

6 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 1.0✈️ 0.5
5.4
Corners · per game
give up 3.0
🏠 5.3✈️ 5.5
12.8
Shots · per game
faced 13.4
🏠 13.0✈️ 12.5
3.8
On target · per game
faced 5.4
🏠 4.0✈️ 3.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
2-0
vs KV Mechelen
🚩 4-1
06 Aug
1-0
@ IFK Göteborg
🚩 3-2
31 May
1-1
vs Racing Genk
🚩 -
24 May
0-5
@ Club Brugge
🚩 8-5
21 May
0-0
vs Union St.-Gilloise
🚩 8-5
10 May
1-1
vs Anderlecht
🚩 4-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on KAA Gent matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a KAA Gent fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on KAA Gent by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4
Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on KAA Gent fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for KAA Gent matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

KAA Gent prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly