How it finished
Racing Genk and KAA Gent drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Racing Genk at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Racing Genk had 17 shots (6 on target) to KAA Gent's 16 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
Racing Genk and KAA Gent drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Racing Genk at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Racing Genk had 17 shots (6 on target) to KAA Gent's 16 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
Racing Genk 1–1 KAA Gent, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Genk 52%, the draw 24% and KAA Gent 24%.
What were the stats in Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.9, Shots 17–16, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 4–9, Saves 5–5, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 2–5.
Did both teams score in Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
Yes — both Racing Genk and KAA Gent scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Racing Genk vs KAA Gent right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Racing Genk or draw 76%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Racing Genk to win 52%, it finished Missed.