What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
Bawler's model rates this match: Racing Genk are favoured (52% win probability vs 24% for KAA Gent, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Racing Genk 1-1 KAA Gent (11.3% probability). Expected total goals: 3.00.
How does Bawler predict Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Racing Genk 52%, the draw 24% and KAA Gent 24%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
BTTS: Yes (58% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.83 and away expected goals 1.17.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Racing Genk vs KAA Gent?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.00. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).