KAA Gent beat OH Leuven 1–0. Bawler's model had KAA Gent in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. KAA Gent had 15 shots (1 on target) to OH Leuven's 8 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
KAA Gent beat OH Leuven 1–0. Bawler's model had KAA Gent in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. KAA Gent had 15 shots (1 on target) to OH Leuven's 8 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.
KAA Gent 1–0 OH Leuven, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KAA Gent 55%, the draw 24% and OH Leuven 22%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.5, Shots 15–8, Shots on target 1–1, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 1–2, Corners 10–1, Saves 1–0, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 1–0, so OH Leuven failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said KAA Gent or draw 78%, it finished KAA Gent won (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said KAA Gent to win 55%, it finished Landed.