KAA Gent vs OH Leuven prediction — Belgian Pro League · Thu 3 Sept · 19:30 UK

Belgian Pro League · Thu 3 Sept · 19:30 UK
KAA Gent 55Draw 24OH Leuven 22
Our call before kickoff
78%
KAA Gent or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

KAA Gent beat OH Leuven 1–0. Bawler's model had KAA Gent in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. KAA Gent had 15 shots (1 on target) to OH Leuven's 8 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.

KAA GentFull-time statsOH Leuven
43%Possession57%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.5
15Shots8
1Shots on target1
7Shots inside box6
1Big chances2
10Corners1
1Saves0
10Fouls8
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callKAA Gent or draw 78%KAA Gent won (55% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Missed
Second pickKAA Gent to win 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KAA GentOH Leuven
1.9
Goals+0.8
1.1
17.4
Shots+9.9
7.5
6.5
On target+3.6
2.9
6.7
Corners+3.7
2.9
KAA GentOH Leuven
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
8.0
Shots+4.6
3.4
2.9
On target+1.6
1.3
3.1
Corners+1.7
1.4
KAA GentOH Leuven
1.3
Goals+0.6
0.7
9.5
Shots+5.4
4.1
3.6
On target+2.0
1.6
3.5
Corners+2.0
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
KAA Gent to score85%
Over 1.5 goals80%
OH Leuven to score67%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

KAA Gent
56%
to score before half-time
OH Leuven
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

KAA GentOH Leuven
8.01st-half shots3.4
2.91st-half shots on target1.3
3.11st-half corners1.4

First-half chances

63%Chance of 7+ shots10%
40%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
75%Chance of 2+ shots on target35%
33%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
77%Chance of 2+ corners38%
38%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · KAA Gent8.09.5
Shots · OH Leuven3.44.1
Shots on target · KAA Gent2.93.6
Shots on target · OH Leuven1.31.6
Corners · KAA Gent3.13.5
Corners · OH Leuven1.41.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
OH Leuven in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KAA Gent vs OH Leuven?

KAA Gent beat OH Leuven 1–0. Bawler's model had KAA Gent in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. KAA Gent had 15 shots (1 on target) to OH Leuven's 8 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.

What was the final score in KAA Gent vs OH Leuven?

KAA Gent 1–0 OH Leuven, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KAA Gent 55%, the draw 24% and OH Leuven 22%.

What were the stats in KAA Gent vs OH Leuven?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.5, Shots 15–8, Shots on target 1–1, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 1–2, Corners 10–1, Saves 1–0, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in KAA Gent vs OH Leuven?

No. It finished 1–0, so OH Leuven failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KAA Gent vs OH Leuven right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said KAA Gent or draw 78%, it finished KAA Gent won (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said KAA Gent to win 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →KAA Gent form →OH Leuven form →