What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
Bawler's model rates this match: Hibernian are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for KAA Gent, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Hibernian 1-1 KAA Gent (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.
How does Bawler predict Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Hibernian 40%, the draw 28% and KAA Gent 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Hibernian vs KAA Gent?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).