KAA Gent vs Club Brugge prediction — Jupiler Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 12:30 UK

Jupiler Pro League · Sun 30 Aug · 12:30 UK
KAA Gent 25Draw 23Club Brugge 51
The call
84%
Over 1.5 goals
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

KAA Gent beat Club Brugge 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Club Brugge at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 25%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. KAA Gent had 13 shots (8 on target) to Club Brugge's 8 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.7.

KAA GentFull-time statsClub Brugge
37%Possession63%
1.4Expected goals (xG)0.7
13Shots8
8Shots on target3
9Shots inside box5
4Big chances1
1Corners5
2Saves6
14Fouls10
0Offsides0
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultClub Brugge 51%KAA Gent (25% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score63%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 84%Landed
Second callAway Win 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Club Brugge to score86%
Over 1.5 goals84%
KAA Gent to score73%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

KAA GentBefore half-timeClub Brugge
44%Chance to score55%
6.2Expected shots3.6
1.9Expected shots on target1.4
2.5Expected corners1.5
72%Chance of 5+ shots29%
42%Chance of 7+ shots9%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
30%Chance of 3+ shots on target18%
69%Chance of 2+ corners43%
25%Chance of 4+ corners8%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 75%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.6 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KAA Gent vs Club Brugge?

KAA Gent beat Club Brugge 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Club Brugge at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 25%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. KAA Gent had 13 shots (8 on target) to Club Brugge's 8 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.7.

What was the final score in KAA Gent vs Club Brugge?

KAA Gent 2–1 Club Brugge, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KAA Gent 25%, the draw 23% and Club Brugge 51%.

What were the stats in KAA Gent vs Club Brugge?

Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.7, Shots 13–8, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 4–1, Corners 1–5, Saves 2–6, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 3–3, Red cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in KAA Gent vs Club Brugge?

Yes — both KAA Gent and Club Brugge scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KAA Gent vs Club Brugge right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Club Brugge 51%, it finished KAA Gent (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Away Win 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →KAA Gent form →Club Brugge form →