FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Friday, 06 November 2026
Hamburg SV 3–1 Borussia MönchengladbachMatch recap · Friday, 06 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Hamburg SV win
39%
Result
Draw
26%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
35%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.5
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 2.4
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.