FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 31 October 2026

Werder Bremen 2–0 TSG HoffenheimMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026

Werder Bremen
2–0
Werder Bremen win
TSG Hoffenheim

Pre-match probability vs result

Werder Bremen win
42%
Result
Draw
24%
TSG Hoffenheim win
34%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.7 – 1.6
Total 3.3
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.1
From the match itself

The match produced 1.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

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