FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 07 November 2026
VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Werder BremenMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
VfB Stuttgart or Draw✓
VfB Stuttgart Over 16.5 Shots✗
Deniz Undav 1+ Shot on Target✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
VfB Stuttgart win
61%
Result
Draw
21%
Werder Bremen win
18%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 1.1
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.