Real Betis beat Villarreal 2–1. Villarreal had 14 shots (8 on target) to Real Betis' 26 (12), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 3.5.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Real Betis beat Villarreal 2–1. Villarreal had 14 shots (8 on target) to Real Betis' 26 (12), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 3.5.
Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Villarreal 47%, the draw 26% and Real Betis 27%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–3.5, Shots 14–26, Shots on target 8–12, Shots inside box 11–20, Big chances 2–7, Corners 7–4, Saves 10–7, Fouls 7–8, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both Villarreal and Real Betis scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.