Venezia vs Lecce prediction — Serie A · Sun 23 Aug · 17:30 UK

Serie A · Sun 23 Aug · 17:30 UK
Venezia 51Draw 27Lecce 22
The call
78%
Venezia or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Lecce beat Venezia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Venezia at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lecce 22%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Venezia had 19 shots (7 on target) to Lecce's 12 (5), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.2.

VeneziaFull-time statsLecce
71%Possession29%
2.1Expected goals (xG)2.2
19Shots12
7Shots on target5
12Shots inside box7
6Big chances3
5Corners3
2Saves6
8Fouls12
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultVenezia 51%Lecce (22% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score48%No
Model call1X 78%Missed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Venezia to score79%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Lecce to score61%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5VEN 1 · D 2 · LEC 2
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Apr 2025Lecce 1–1 Venezia
Nov 2024Venezia 0–1 Lecce
May 2021Lecce 1–1 Venezia
May 2021Venezia 1–0 Lecce
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Venezia vs Lecce?

Lecce beat Venezia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Venezia at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lecce 22%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Venezia had 19 shots (7 on target) to Lecce's 12 (5), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.2.

What was the final score in Venezia vs Lecce?

Venezia 0–2 Lecce, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Venezia 51%, the draw 27% and Lecce 22%.

What were the stats in Venezia vs Lecce?

Full-time: Possession 71%–29%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–2.2, Shots 19–12, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 12–7, Big chances 6–3, Corners 5–3, Saves 2–6, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Venezia vs Lecce?

No. It finished 0–2, so Venezia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Venezia vs Lecce right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Venezia 51%, it finished Lecce (22% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 78%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Venezia form →Lecce form →