Troyes vs Paris FC prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK
Troyes 35Draw 27Paris FC 38
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

Troyes and Paris FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Paris FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Troyes had 9 shots (2 on target) to Paris FC's 10 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.8.

TroyesFull-time statsParis FC
41%Possession59%
0.4Expected goals (xG)1.8
9Shots10
2Shots on target1
7Shots inside box5
0Big chances2
6Corners2
1Saves2
8Fouls14
1Offsides2
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultParis FC 38%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.80
Both teams to score57%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals77%
Paris FC to score76%
Troyes to score75%
Under 3.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5TRO 0 · D 1 · PAR 4
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Feb 2025Paris FC 1–0 Troyes
Oct 2024Troyes 0–3 Paris FC
Apr 2024Troyes 1–2 Paris FC
Oct 2023Paris FC 2–2 Troyes
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Troyes vs Paris FC?

Troyes and Paris FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Paris FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Troyes had 9 shots (2 on target) to Paris FC's 10 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Troyes vs Paris FC?

Troyes 0–0 Paris FC, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Troyes 35%, the draw 27% and Paris FC 38%.

What were the stats in Troyes vs Paris FC?

Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.8, Shots 9–10, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 0–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–2, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Troyes vs Paris FC?

No. It finished 0–0, so Troyes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Troyes vs Paris FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Paris FC 38%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Troyes form →Paris FC form →