Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction — Ligue 1 · Sun 23 Aug · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sun 23 Aug · 19:45 UK
Stade Rennais 25Draw 23Paris Saint-Germain 52
Our call before kickoff
75%
Paris Saint-Germain or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Stade Rennais and Paris Saint-Germain drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Paris Saint-Germain at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Stade Rennais had 9 shots (3 on target) to Paris Saint-Germain's 19 (5), with 31% of the ball against 70%.

Stade RennaisFull-time statsParis…
31%Possession70%
9Shots19
3Shots on target5
0Corners10
3Saves0
7Fouls6
0Offsides7
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callParis Saint-Germain or draw 75%Draw (23% called)
Total goals3.34
Both teams to score62%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed
Second pickParis Saint-Germain to win 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Stade RennaisParis Saint-Germain
1.3
Goals+0.7
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Paris Saint-Germain to score86%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Stade Rennais to score73%
Over 2.5 goals63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.7 / match
Paris Saint-Germain in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Stade Rennais and Paris Saint-Germain drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Paris Saint-Germain at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Stade Rennais had 9 shots (3 on target) to Paris Saint-Germain's 19 (5), with 31% of the ball against 70%.

What was the final score in Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Stade Rennais 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stade Rennais 25%, the draw 23% and Paris Saint-Germain 52%.

What were the stats in Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Full-time: Possession 31%–70%, Shots 9–19, Shots on target 3–5, Corners 0–10, Saves 3–0, Fouls 7–6, Offsides 0–7, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Yes — both Stade Rennais and Paris Saint-Germain scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Paris Saint-Germain or draw 75%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Paris Saint-Germain to win 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Stade Rennais form →Paris Saint-Germain form →