Match prediction·NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie·Sunday 09 Aug, 10:15 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Rotterdam

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
38.3% home30.7% draw31.1% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
Sparta RotterdamstepFeyenoord Rotterdam
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Sparta Rotterdam average 4.7 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Feyenoord average 6.2 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Both teams to score
53%
Over 3.5 goals
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Sparta Rotterdam 38% · draw 31% · Feyenoord 31%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Sparta Rotterdam 01 Feyenoord Rotterdam
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.