Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK
57Sparta Prague win24Draw19Lillestrom win
Full time
1–1

How it finished

Sparta Prague and Lillestrom drew 1–1. Sparta Prague had 15 shots (8 on target) to Lillestrom's 6 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.

Sparta PragueFull-time statsLillestrom
53%Possession47%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.7
15Shots6
8Shots on target2
7Shots inside box4
3Big chances2
6Corners1
1Saves6
12Fouls9
1Offsides2
3Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Sparta Prague win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.9v1.0
2.9 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
55%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Sparta PragueSparta PragueLillestromLillestrom
1.9Goals1.0
21.4Shots9.4
7.6On target3.1
8.9Corners4.7
Sparta PragueSparta PragueLillestromLillestrom
1.1Goals0.4
11.0Shots4.3
3.8On target1.4
4.2Corners2.2
Sparta PragueSparta PragueLillestromLillestrom
0.8Goals0.6
10.4Shots5.1
3.8On target1.7
4.7Corners2.5

What we said the chances were

Sparta Prague to score85%
2 or more goals78%
Goal before half-time78%
3 goals or fewer67%
Lillestrom to score63%

First half — what we expected

Sparta Prague
66%
to score before half-time
Lillestrom
36%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Sparta PragueSparta PragueLillestromLillestrom
61%10+ shots<10%
42%12+ shots<10%
69%3+ shots on target19%
33%5+ shots on target<10%
74%3+ corners37%
40%5+ corners10%

League position

Lillestrom in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Sparta Prague form →Lillestrom form →

Common questions

Who won Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom?

Sparta Prague and Lillestrom drew 1–1. Sparta Prague had 15 shots (8 on target) to Lillestrom's 6 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom?

Sparta Prague 1–1 Lillestrom, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sparta Prague 57%, the draw 24% and Lillestrom 19%.

What were the stats in Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.7, Shots 15–6, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 7–4, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–1, Saves 1–6, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom?

Yes — both Sparta Prague and Lillestrom scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.