Sparta Prague and Lillestrom drew 1–1. Sparta Prague had 15 shots (8 on target) to Lillestrom's 6 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Sparta Prague and Lillestrom drew 1–1. Sparta Prague had 15 shots (8 on target) to Lillestrom's 6 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.
Sparta Prague 1–1 Lillestrom, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sparta Prague 57%, the draw 24% and Lillestrom 19%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.7, Shots 15–6, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 7–4, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–1, Saves 1–6, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–2.
Yes — both Sparta Prague and Lillestrom scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.