FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Sparta Prague 1–3 AFC BournemouthMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickVoid
AFC Bournemouth or Draw✓
AFC Bournemouth Over 10.5 Shots✓
Evanilson 2+ ShotsVoid
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Sparta Prague win
8%
Draw
15%
AFC Bournemouth win
77%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.8 – 2.7
Total 3.4
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 2.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 3.4.