How it finished
Spain beat Croatia 4–1. Spain had 16 shots (7 on target) to Croatia's 5 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.4.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Spain vs Croatia?
Spain beat Croatia 4–1. Spain had 16 shots (7 on target) to Croatia's 5 (2), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Spain vs Croatia?
Spain 4–1 Croatia, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Spain 79%, the draw 15% and Croatia 6%.
What were the stats in Spain vs Croatia?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.4, Shots 16–5, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 12–4, Big chances 4–1, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Spain vs Croatia?
Yes — both Spain and Croatia scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 37% before kickoff.