Bawler / World: World Cup / Spain
Team profile · World: World Cup

Spain Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
12
12 settled
Goals for
1.67
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.18
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
58%
7/12 calls

Spain prediction: Bawler's model rates Spain at 1.67 expected goals scored and 1.18 conceded per match across 12 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 58% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Spain fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Spain carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.67 expected goals per game against a World Cup average of 1.33. Form is with them: 5 straight wins. Across 12 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Spain have been correct 58% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
9W 3D 0L
Real goals
1.8 – 0.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Spain compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.67
Above average
Goals against
1.18
Tighter than most
Scored1.67
Conceded1.18

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.67 xG per match · +0.35 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.18 xG per match · -0.20 vs league average of 1.38.
On a 5-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

📊 Spain in numbers

8 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 0.1
🏠 2.0✈️ 1.3
5.7
Corners · per game
give up 2.2
🏠 6.7✈️ 4.7
17.1
Shots · per game
faced 6.3
🏠 22.3✈️ 10.3
5.8
On target · per game
faced 1.5
🏠 8.7✈️ 3.0
🗓️ Last 6 games
19 Jul
1-0
vs Argentina
🚩 -
14 Jul
2-0
@ France
🚩 1-7
10 Jul
2-1
vs Belgium
🚩 5-1
06 Jul
1-0
@ Portugal
🚩 7-3
02 Jul
3-0
vs Austria
🚩 9-0
27 Jun
1-0
@ Uruguay
🚩 6-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Spain matches
58%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 12

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Spain fixture, it is right 7 out of 12 (58%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 10)

Spain prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly