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FT · Europe: UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 26 September 2026
Czechia 1–2 Croatia
Match recap · Saturday, 26 September 2026
Czechia
1
–
2
Croatia win
Croatia
Pre-match probability vs result
Czechia win
33%
Draw
25%
Croatia win
42%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.
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