FT · Europe: UEFA Nations League · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Czechia 1–2 CroatiaMatch recap · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Czechia
1–2
Croatia win
Croatia

Pre-match probability vs result

Czechia win
33%
Draw
25%
Croatia win
42%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.4 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.

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