How it finished
Southampton beat Millwall 5–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Southampton had 21 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 14 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 70%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Southampton vs Millwall?
Southampton beat Millwall 5–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Southampton had 21 shots (7 on target) to Millwall's 14 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Southampton vs Millwall?
Southampton 5–1 Millwall, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Southampton 49%, the draw 25% and Millwall 26%.
What were the stats in Southampton vs Millwall?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–1.1, Shots 21–14, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 16–11, Big chances 5–1, Corners 8–11, Saves 4–2, Fouls 6–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Southampton vs Millwall?
Yes — both Southampton and Millwall scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Southampton vs Millwall right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Southampton 49%, it finished Southampton (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 74%, it finished Landed.