Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction — LaLiga · Sat 15 Aug · 20:30 UK

LaLiga · Sat 15 Aug · 20:30 UK
Sevilla 44Draw 32Rayo Vallecano 24
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1. Bawler's model had Sevilla in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Sevilla had 13 shots (4 on target) to Rayo Vallecano's 6 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 2.0.

SevillaFull-time statsRayo…
49%Possession51%
2.3Expected goals (xG)2.0
13Shots6
4Shots on target3
9Shots inside box5
2Big chances3
1Corners2
2Saves2
18Fouls18
1Offsides1
4Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSevilla 44%Sevilla (44% called)
Total goals2.63
Both teams to score52%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second callBTTS No 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Sevilla to score78%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Rayo Vallecano to score66%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1. Bawler's model had Sevilla in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Sevilla had 13 shots (4 on target) to Rayo Vallecano's 6 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 2.0.

What was the final score in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sevilla 44%, the draw 32% and Rayo Vallecano 24%.

What were the stats in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–2.0, Shots 13–6, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 2–3, Corners 1–2, Saves 2–2, Fouls 18–18, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–4, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Yes — both Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sevilla 44%, it finished Sevilla (44% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS No 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Sevilla form →Rayo Vallecano form →