Scotland vs Slovenia prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 UK
61Scotland win25Draw14Slovenia win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

Slovenia beat Scotland 2–1. Scotland had 12 shots (6 on target) to Slovenia's 10 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 1.3, so Scotland created the better chances and still lost the game.

ScotlandFull-time statsSlovenia
54%Possession46%
2.2Expected goals (xG)1.3
12Shots10
6Shots on target3
8Shots inside box6
2Big chances4
1Corners4
0Saves4
11Fouls16
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
We predicted
1–0
Scotland to win · 15% for this exact score
Expected goals
1.7v0.7
2.4 in total
Both teams score
41%
Leans no
3+ goals
43%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

ScotlandScotlandSloveniaSlovenia
1.7Goals0.7
ScotlandScotlandSloveniaSlovenia
0.8Goals0.3
ScotlandScotlandSloveniaSlovenia
1.0Goals0.4

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Scotland to score82%
3 goals or fewer78%
2 or more goals69%
Goal before half-time65%

First half — what we expected

Scotland
53%
to score before half-time
Slovenia
26%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Sept 2026Slovenia 0–0 Scotland
Oct 2017Slovenia 2–2 Scotland
Mar 2017Scotland 1–0 Slovenia
Feb 2012Slovenia 1–1 Scotland
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Scotland form →Slovenia form →

Common questions

Who won Scotland vs Slovenia?

Slovenia beat Scotland 2–1. Scotland had 12 shots (6 on target) to Slovenia's 10 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 1.3, so Scotland created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Scotland vs Slovenia?

Scotland 1–2 Slovenia, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Scotland 61%, the draw 25% and Slovenia 14%.

What were the stats in Scotland vs Slovenia?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.3, Shots 12–10, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 2–4, Corners 1–4, Saves 0–4, Fouls 11–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Scotland vs Slovenia?

Yes — both Scotland and Slovenia scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 41% before kickoff.