Slovenia beat Scotland 2–1. Scotland had 12 shots (6 on target) to Slovenia's 10 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 1.3, so Scotland created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Slovenia beat Scotland 2–1. Scotland had 12 shots (6 on target) to Slovenia's 10 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 1.3, so Scotland created the better chances and still lost the game.
Scotland 1–2 Slovenia, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Scotland 61%, the draw 25% and Slovenia 14%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.3, Shots 12–10, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 2–4, Corners 1–4, Saves 0–4, Fouls 11–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
Yes — both Scotland and Slovenia scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 41% before kickoff.