Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Scotland prediction: Bawler's model rates Scotland at 1.34 expected goals scored and 1.38 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 40% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Scotland fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Scotland sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.34 expected goals a game and conceding 1.38. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.34 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Scotland have been correct 40% of the time.
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How Scotland compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Scotland fixture, it is right 2 out of 5 (40%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.