Red Bull New York vs Orlando City SC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 85% because Red Bull's 2.18 xG dominates Orlando's 1.52 in a fixture built for multiple tallies.
Red Bull New YorkstepOrlando City SCNew York Red Bulls average 4.6 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Orlando City average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: New York Red Bulls 50% · draw 25% · Orlando City 25%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Red Bull New York 3–2 Orlando City SCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.