How it finished
Real Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 4–1. Real Madrid had 24 shots (11 on target) to Rayo Vallecano's 18 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.1.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Around this fixture
LaLiga table →Common questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 4–1. Real Madrid had 24 shots (11 on target) to Rayo Vallecano's 18 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Madrid 62%, the draw 21% and Rayo Vallecano 17%.
What were the stats in Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.1, Shots 24–18, Shots on target 11–7, Shots inside box 16–8, Big chances 4–2, Corners 11–5, Saves 6–7, Fouls 9–13, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Yes — both Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.