Racing Santander vs Villarreal prediction — LaLiga · Sun 16 Aug · 16:00 UK

LaLiga · Sun 16 Aug · 16:00 UK
Racing Santander 42Draw 32Villarreal 26
The call
70%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Racing Santander and Villarreal drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Racing Santander at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 32%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Racing Santander had 17 shots (3 on target) to Villarreal's 12 (7), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.9.

Racing…Full-time statsVillarreal
41%Possession59%
2.0Expected goals (xG)0.9
17Shots12
3Shots on target7
9Shots inside box7
2Big chances1
6Corners10
5Saves3
14Fouls14
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultRacing Santander 42%Draw (32% called)
Total goals2.64
Both teams to score52%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 70%Landed
Second callHome Win 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Racing Santander to score77%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Villarreal to score68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5RAC 2 · D 1 · VIL 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Dec 2025Racing Santander 2–1 Villarreal
Apr 2013Villarreal 1–0 Racing Santander
Nov 2012Racing Santander 0–3 Villarreal
Apr 2012Villarreal 1–1 Racing Santander
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

Racing Santander and Villarreal drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Racing Santander at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 32%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Racing Santander had 17 shots (3 on target) to Villarreal's 12 (7), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

Racing Santander 2–2 Villarreal, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 42%, the draw 32% and Villarreal 26%.

What were the stats in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.9, Shots 17–12, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 2–1, Corners 6–10, Saves 5–3, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

Yes — both Racing Santander and Villarreal scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Racing Santander vs Villarreal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Racing Santander 42%, it finished Draw (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 70%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Racing Santander form →Villarreal form →