Match prediction·BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League·Saturday 15 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Racing Genk vs KVC Westerlo

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
58.9% home27.3% draw13.9% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
Racing GenkstepKVC Westerlo
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Racing Genk average 8.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). KVC Westerlo average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Racing Genk to win
81%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
KVC Westerlo or draw
23%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Racing Genk vs KVC Westerlo — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 10 May 2026, Racing Genk have won 1, KVC Westerlo have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
10 May 2026Racing Genk 30 KVC WesterloBelgium: Pro League

The model's verdict for this fixture: Racing Genk 59% · draw 27% · KVC Westerlo 14%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.